In 2024, China’s macro-economy is predicted to experience a continued recovery, showcasing an overall rebound trend. Various demand-related indicators are also expected to witness improved growth levels, auguring well for the steady growth trend of the total steel market demand. It is projected that the full-year growth level will reach approximately 3% or even higher. Contributing factors to this positive outlook include better steel consumption in industrial production, an increase in steel consumption for fixed asset investment, and sustained large-scale steel consumption for both direct and indirect exports.
Two key judgments drive the anticipated rebound in China’s economy and total steel demand in the new year. Firstly, domestic decision-making departments continue to prioritize counter-cyclical adjustments and have introduced effective measures to stabilize growth. These include active fiscal policies, loose monetary policies, infrastructure construction reinforcement, measures to stabilize real estate development and investment, as well as promoting foreign trade and exports. Monetary policy in the coming year will place greater emphasis on cross-cyclical and countercyclical adjustments to create a favorable monetary and financial environment.
Secondly, the global economy and global manufacturing are expected to witness improvement in the new year. The recent meeting between the heads of state of China and the United States has created a positive atmosphere for enhancing relations between the two countries. These optimistic developments will result in a friendlier export environment for China, including steel exports, in 2024.
Forecasts based on factors such as the worldwide economic rebound, the potential for a “soft landing” of the U.S. economy, the shift in monetary policies in European and American countries, which are expected to halt interest rate increases or even lower them, and the improved Sino-U.S. trade atmosphere, all indicate that China’s steel export environment will be more favorable in 2024 compared to the previous year. Consequently, steel exports in the new year are expected to maintain a large volume.
China’s commitment to strengthening counter-cyclical adjustments signifies the government’s determination to navigate through economic challenges. The introduction of various measures to stimulate growth, including active fiscal policies and loose monetary policies, will play a crucial role in ensuring a sustained recovery.
Furthermore, the positive global economic outlook and the improved relationship between China and the U.S. set the stage for increased demand for Chinese exports, including steel. The reduction in trade tensions and the commitment to improving relations between the two countries will enhance China’s export environment and contribute to the growth of steel exports in 2024.
In conclusion, China’s steel export environment is expected to witness significant improvements in 2024. The macroeconomic recovery, along with various supportive measures introduced by the Chinese government, will create a favorable growth trajectory. The positive global economic environment and the improved Sino-U.S. trade atmosphere will contribute to the sustained demand for Chinese steel exports. As a result, it is predicted that China’s steel export volume will remain high in the coming year.
Post time: Nov-30-2023